Thursday, August 30, 2012

PER THE KANSAS CITY FED, EXPECTATIONS FOR FARM INCOME DROPPING RAPIDLY


For those states comprising the Kansas City Federal District (Nebraska, Mountain States, Kansas, Missouri and Oklahoma), the expectations for farm income have dropped dramatically due to the drought.  The district just released report on the second quarter agricultural credit conditions.

The report presented a chart of actual income versus expected income by quarter from 2004 to now.  

This district has substantial livestock operations so the high cost of feed is more negatively impacting farm income than perhaps other reporting districts.

Farmland prices have increased dramatically from a year ago.  Nebraska leads the pack with a 36.5% increase in non-irrigated land, with some of the other states not too far behind.  However, expectations going forward is for flat farmland values for the next year or so due to the drought.  Also, there is probably some “fatigue” setting in from the rapid appreciation in values.